Posted: 11:42 am Saturday, April 27th, 2013

Looking forward to baseball regionals, looking back at district predictions 

By Matt Porter

A total of 22 baseball teams from Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast made it out of districts and into regionals. Here’s a quick look at what’s ahead.

First, if you’re keeping score: I was correct in five of my 14 district tournament predictions. I’ll give myself partial credit on six others (guessing both teams in the final or the correct winner). I was truly wrong on three, which is OK … I guess.

FULL CREDIT
14-7A (West Boca Raton over Atlantic)
13-7A (Royal Palm Beach over Santaluces)
11-4A (Bishop Verot over LaBelle)
6-3A (John Carroll over Melbourne Central Catholic)
11-2A (Vero Beach-Master’s over Community Christian)

First two were easy. As far as the rest … since we don’t cover most of the teams in some districts (in 11-4A, for example, Clewiston is the only team we keep track of), those predictions don’t mean much. I’ll take the wins.

PARTIAL CREDIT
6-8A (pick: Vero over Centennial; result: Centennial over Vero)
9-8A (pick: Jupiter over Gardens; result: Gardens over Jupiter)
10-8A (pick: Park Vista over John I. Leonard; result: Park Vista over Seminole Ridge)
15-5A (pick: Suncoast over Jensen Beach; result: Jensen Beach over Suncoast)
12-4A (pick: Cardinal Newman over Lincoln Park; result: Lincoln Park over Cardinal Newman)
12-3A (pick: Benjamin over King’s Academy; result: King’s over Benjamin)

I felt this was Benjamin’s year, but King’s was a step ahead. Suncoast and Cardinal Newman were good-faith picks based on how those clubs played down the stretch. Ridge/Leonard was a toss-up. Then there’s 9-8A, which could have been any team. Gardens winning surprises no one.

NO CREDIT
12-7A (pick: Martin County over South Fork; result: South Fork over Sebastian River)
13-3A (pick: American Heritage over Pope John Paul II; result: Pope over Heritage)
12-2A (pick: Glades Day over Boca Christian; result: Lake Worth Christian over Glades Day)

Martin County’s loss was a stunner. Glades Day looked to be head-and-shoulders above the rest of 12-2A. (Note: as two commenters correctly pointed out, I also got 13-3A wrong. I expected Heritage to win that one, but Pope was better. I award me no points, and my God have mercy on my soul.)

Using a rudimentary scoring system (1 point for full credit, half-point for partial credit) my success rate is about 57 percent. I’d like to think I’m a better prognosticator, but baseball’s a funny game.

Enough simple math for a Saturday morning. Here’s what we’re looking at next week:

REGIONAL BASEBALL SCHEDULE
Admission: $7

Class 8A
Jupiter at Park Vista, 7 p.m. Wednesday
Seminole Ridge at Palm Beach Gardens, 7 p.m. Wednesday
Next up: Winners play in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Weston-Cypress Bay/Parkland-Douglas vs. Coral Springs-Coral Glades/Pembroke Pines-Flanagan

Class 7A
Atlantic at Royal Palm Beach, 7 p.m. Thursday
Santaluces at West Boca Raton, 7 p.m. Thursday
Next up: Winners play in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Davie-Nova/Oakland Park-Northeast vs. Coconut Creek-Monarch/Fort Lauderdale-St. Thomas Aquinas

Class 5A
Suncoast at Plantation-American Heritage, Thursday (time TBD)
Next up: Pompano Beach/Jensen Beach winner in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Naples-Lely/Fort Myers-Cypress Lake vs. Cape Coral-Estero

Class 4A
Cardinal Newman at Fort Myers-Bishop Verot, 7 p.m. Wednesday
LaBelle at Lincoln Park, 7 p.m. Wednesday
Next up: Winners play in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Arcadia-DeSoto County/Tampa Berkeley Prep vs. Tampa Catholic/Lake Placid

Class 3A
Benjamin at Naples-Seacrest, Thursday (time TBD)
Fort Myers-Canterbury at King’s Academy, 4 p.m. Thursday
Next up: Winners play in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Clearwater-Calvary Christian/Sarasota-Out-of-Door vs. Sarasota-Cardinal Mooney/Clearwater Central Catholic
* * *
Pompano Beach-Highlands Christian at Pope John Paul II, 7 p.m. Thursday
American Heritage at Coral Springs Christian, 7 p.m. Thursday
Next up: Winners play in regional semifinal Tuesday, May 7
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Miami-Westminster Christian/Miami-Mater Lakes vs. Miami-Dade Christian/Miami-Florida Christian

Class 2A
Glades Day at Vero Beach-Master’s Academy, 7 p.m. Wednesday
Community Christian at Lake Worth Christian, 4 p.m. Wednesday
Next up: Winners play Tues., May 7 in regional semifinal
After that: Regional final Friday, May 10 against winner of Fort Myers-Southwest Christian/St. Petersburg-Canterbury vs. Sarasota Christian/Naples-First Baptist

Treasure Coast
Class 8A: Winter Park at Centennial, 7 p.m. Wednesday
Class 7A: Sarasota at South Fork, 7 p.m. Thursday
Class 5A: Pompano Beach at Jensen Beach, Thursday (time TBD)
Class 3A: Maitland-Orangewood Christian at John Carroll, Thursday (time TBD)